ANDRE FILIPE DE MORAES BATISTA
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Artigo Científico How Reliable Are The Screening Tools As A Triage Element For The Application Of The Global Leadership Initiative On Malnutrition (Glim)? Prospective Multicenter Observational Study(2023) Lopes, G.G.; Piovacari, S. M. F.; Moraes, J. R.; Santos, H. B. C.; Rakovicius, A. K. Z.; ANDRE FILIPE DE MORAES BATISTA; Pereira, A.J.Rationale: The international GLIM guideline recommends on the use of nutritional screening for the diagnosis of hospital malnutrition. However, as clinical outcomes were not included in the original validation of these instruments and their sensitivity (true positive rate) is unknown, it is not possible to report a chance of a truly at nutritional risk patient not being identified by screening and consequently not being evaluated by the GLIM. Methods: Multicenter, prospective observational trial in 3 Brazilian tertiary hospitals, carried out between December/21 to February/22. A convenience sample was used based on patients with expected length of stay at hospital longer than 48 hours. Pregnant women, under 18 years old, palliative care, lymphedema and muscle atrophy of neurological causes patients were excluded. NRS 2002, MNA-SF and ESPEN 2019 tools were applied to the specific populations (following international guidelines) by trained and validated Dietitians. Hospital mortality data were extracted from the local electronic medical records. Results: 676 patients were included, 54% male, 90% white with a mean age of 63 years (SD: ±21) and BMI of 27.50 kg/m2 (SD: ±4.72), hospitalized in the wards (68%). The most used nutritional screening was NRS 2002 (52%). In the sample, 39% were at nutritional risk, of these 5.6% died. An overview of nutritional screening tools’ performance are shown in the Table. In addition, accuracy found was 0.59 and area under the curve was 0,69 for predicting in-hospital deaths.Artigo Científico Early identification of older individuals at risk of mobility decline with machine learning(2022) Nascimento, Carla Ferreira do; ANDRE FILIPE DE MORAES BATISTA; Duarte, Yeda Aparecida Oliveira; Chiavegatto Filho, Alexandre Dias PortoBackground: : The early identification of individuals at risk of mobility decline can improve targeted strategies of prevention. Aims: : To evaluate the predictive performance of machine learning (ML) algorithms in identifying older in dividuals at risk of future mobility decline. Methods: : We used data from the SABE Study (Health, Well-being and Aging Study), a representative sample of people aged 60 years and more, living in the Municipality of São Paulo, Brazil. Mobility decline was assessed 5 years after admission in the study by self-reported difficulty to walk a block, climb steps, being able to stoop, crouch and kneel, or lifting or carrying weights greater than 5 kg. Popular machine learning algorithms were trained in 70% of the sample with 10-fold cross-validation, and predictive performance metrics were obtained from applying the trained algorithms to the other 30% (test set). Results: : Of the 1,615 individuals, 48% developed difficulty in at least one of the four tasks, 32% in stooping, crouching and kneeling, and 30% in carrying weights. The random forest algorithm had the best predictive performance for most outcomes. The tasks that the algorithm was able to predict with better performance were crouching and kneeling (AUC-ROC: 0.81[0.76–0.85]), and lifting or carrying weights (AUC-ROC: 0.80 [0.75–0.84]). Age was the most important variable for the algorithms, followed by education and back pain, according to the SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) values. Conclusion: : Applications of ML algorithms are a promising tool to identify older patients at risk of mobility decline, with the potential of improving targeted preventive programs.