Centro de Estudos das Cidades – Laboratório Arq.Futuro do Insper (Insper Cidades)
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Resultado da parceria firmada entre Insper e Arq.Futuro em 2019, o Centro de Estudos das Cidades – Laboratório Arq.Futuro, que nasceu como Laboratório Arq.Futuro de Cidades do Insper e ganhou sua atual estrutura e a nova denominação em maio de 2024, tem na interdisciplinaridade a base de uma plataforma para o ensino e a pesquisa sobre o meio urbano, com foco na inovação.
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22 resultados
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Artigo Científico All-cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality and wildfire-related ozone: a multicountry two-stage time series analysis(2024) Chen, Gongbo; Guo, Yuming; Yue, Xu; Xu, Rongbin; Yu, Wenhua; Ye, Tingting; Tong, Shilu; Gasparrini, Antonio; Bell, Michelle L; Armstrong, Ben; Schwartz, Joel; Jaakkola , Jouni J K; Lavigne , Eric; Saldiva, Paulo Hilario Nascimento; Kan, Haidong; Royé, Dominic; Urban, Aleš; Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria; Tobias, Aurelio; Forsberg, Bertil; Sera, Francesco; Lei, Yadong; Abramson, Michael J; Li, ShanshanArtigo Científico Productivity-adjusted life years lost due to non-optimum temperatures in Brazil: A nationwide time-series study(2023) Wen, Bo Wen; Ademi, Zanfina; Wu, Yao; Xu, Rongbin; Yu, Pei; Ye, Tingting; Coêlho, Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio; Saldiva, Paulo Hilario Nascimento; Guo, Yuming; Li, ShanshanNon-optimal temperatures are associated with premature deaths globally. However, the evidence is limited in low- and middle-income countries, and the productivity losses due to non-optimal temperatures have not been quantified. We aimed to estimate the work-related impacts and economic losses attributable to non-optimal temperatures in Brazil. We collected daily mortality data from 510 immediate regions in Brazil during 2000 and 2019. A two-stage time-series analysis was applied to evaluate the association between non-optimum temperatures and the Productivity-Adjusted Life-Years (PALYs) lost. The temperature-PALYs association was fitted for each location in the first stage and then we applied meta-analyses to obtain the national estimations. The attributable fraction (AF) of PALY lost due to ambient temperatures and the corresponding economic costs were calculated for different subgroups of the working-age population. A total of 3,629,661 of PALYs lost were attributed to non-optimal temperatures during 2000–2019 in Brazil, corresponding to 2.90 % (95 % CI: 1.82 %, 3.95 %) of the total PALYs lost. Non-optimal temperatures have led to US$104.86 billion (95 % CI: 65.95, 142.70) of economic costs related to PALYs lost and the economic burden was more substantial in males and the population aged 15–44 years. Higher risks of extreme cold temperatures were observed in the South region in Brazil while extreme hot temperatures were observed in the Central West and Northeast regions. In conclusion, non-optimal temperatures are associated with considerable labour losses as well as economic costs in Brazil. Tailored policies and adaptation strategies should be proposed to mitigate the impacts of non-optimal temperatures on the labour supply in a changing climate.Capítulo de Livro City Financing and Social Urbanism in Latin America: The Importance of Good Fiscal Management(2021) Eguino, Huáscar; Leite, CarlosEach territory and culture within Latin American cities has unique characteristics which sometimes make it difficult to define a common ground between their urban dynamics. However, through more specialized reading, some dysfunctional symptoms can be perceived as recurrent patterns among South American urban systems. This includes the urgency for decent affordable housing and basic infrastructure and the need for public facilities and transportation systems in the most peripheral and vulnerable regions of larger cities. In developing countries, the highest population densities are found precisely in highly socially vulnerable informal territories on the cities’ peripheries; at the same time, urban centers do not fully utilize their capacity in terms of existing infrastructure. It is a land use unbalance that reflects the incongruity of urban economic development. An analysis of these territories under the light of social urbanism shows that the priority of the public sector must be...Relatório de pesquisa Artigo Científico Loss of life expectancy from PM2.5 in Brazil: A national study from 2010 to 2018(2022) Yu, Pei; Xu, Rongbin; Li, Shanshan; Coelho, Micheline S. Z. S.; Saldiva, Paulo H. N.; Sim, Malcolm R.; Abramson, Michael J.; Guo, YumingBackground Long-term exposure to PM2.5 is proved to be linked with mortality. However, limited studies have estimated the PM2.5 related loss of life expectancy (LLE) and its changing trends. How much life expectancy would be improved if PM2.5 pollution is reduced to the new WHO air quality guideline (AQG) level is unclear. Methods Data on deaths from all-causes, cancer, cardiovascular and respiratory diseases were collected from 5,565 Brazilian municipalities during 2010–2018. A difference-in-differences approach with quasi-Poisson regression was applied to examine the PM2.5-years of life lost (YLL) associations and PM2.5 associated LLE. Results The annual PM2.5 concentration in each municipality from 2010 to 2018 was 7.7 µg/m3 in Brazil. Nationally, with each 10 μg/m3 increase in five-year-average (current and previous four years) concentrations of PM2.5, the relative risks (RRs) were 1.18 (95% CI: 1.15–1.21) for YLL from all-causes, 1.22 (1.16–1.28) from cancer, 1.12 (1.08–1.17) from cardiovascular and 1.17 (1.10–1.25) from respiratory diseases. Life expectancy could be improved by 1.09 (95% CI: 0.92–1.25) years by limiting PM2.5 concentration to the national lowest level (2.9 µg/m3), specifically, 0.20 (0.15–0.24) years for cancer, 0.16 (0.11–0.22) years for cardiovascular and 0.09 (0.05–0.13) years for respiratory diseases, with significant disparities across regions and municipalities. Life expectancy would be improved by 0.78 (0.66–0.90) years by setting the new WHO AQG PM2.5 concentration level of 5 μg/m3 as an acceptable threshold. Conclusions Using nationwide death records in Brazil, we found that long-term exposure to PM2.5 was associated with reduced life expectancy from all-causes, cancer, cardiovascular and respiratory diseases with regional inequalities and different trends. PM2.5 pollution abatement to below the WHO AQG level would improve this loss of life expectancy in Brazil.- Guia de Mobilidade Humana(2024) Coelho, Helena Carvalho; Guimarães, Carolina (Coautoria); Avelleda, Sérgio (Coautoria)O Guia de Mobilidade Humana tem o propósito de fornecer orientação prática a partir de referências relevantes baseadas em dados e evidências, experiências de gestão no setor da mobilidade e na literatura disponível.
Working Paper Land, Property and Urban Planning(2024) Sala, Safira De La; Alterman, RachelleOne of the most pressing issues of present times is climate change. With over 55% of the world population living in cities, the question is particularly relevant for urban settlements, and how to consolidate environmental justice in such scenarios. How shall the rule of law approach the matter? It will depend on each place's specific environmental, social and cultural elements, keeping in mind the most needed safeguard of fundamental rights. One of those is property. How does property, underpinning land use and urban planning law, relate to such challenges? This chapter aims to provide an introductory theoretical overview of real (land-related) property and climate change. (Henceforth, by “property” we will be referring to real property). We argue that the impact of property rights on mitigation and adaptation to climate change can be both positive and negative. These will differ across different property rights and planning law regimes in contending with the challenges of climate change.Artigo Científico Ambient PM2.5 and productivity-adjusted life years lost in Brazil: a national population-based study(2024) Wen, Bo; Ademi, Zanfina; Wu, Yao; Xu, Rongbin; Yu, Pei; Ye, Tingting; Coêlho, Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio; Saldiva, Paulo Hilario Nascimento; Guo, Yuming; Li, ShanshanEnormous health burden has been associated with air pollution and its effects continue to grow. However, the impact of air pollution on labour productivity at the population level is still unknown. This study assessed the association between premature death due to PM2.5 exposure and the loss of productivity-adjusted life years (PALYs), in Brazil. We applied a novel variant of the difference-in-difference (DID) approach to assess the association. Daily all-cause mortality data in Brazil were collected from 2000–2019. The PALYs lost increased by 5.11% (95% CI: 4.10–6.13%), for every 10 µg/m3 increase in the 2-day moving average of PM2.5. A total of 9,219,995 (95% CI: 7,491,634–10,921,141) PALYs lost and US$ 268.05 (95% CI: 217.82–317.50) billion economic costs were attributed to PM2.5 exposure, corresponding to 7.37% (95% CI: 5.99–8.73%) of the total PALYs lost due to premature death. This study also found that 5,005,306 PALYs could be avoided if the World Health Organization (WHO) air quality guideline (AQG) level was met. In conclusion, this study demonstrates that ambient PM2.5 exposure is associated with a considerable labour productivity burden relating to premature death in Brazil, while over half of the burden could be prevented if the WHO AQG was met. The findings highlight the need to reduce ambient PM2.5 levels and provide strong evidence for the development of strategies to mitigate the economic impacts of air pollution.Artigo Científico Wildfire-related PM2.5 and cardiovascular mortality: A difference-in-differences analysis in Brazil(2024) Gao, Yuan; Huang, Wenzhong; Yu, Pei; Xu, Rongbin; Gasevic, Danijela; Yue, Xu; Coêlho, Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio; Saldiva, Paulo Hilario Nascimento; Guo, Yuming; Li, ShanshanBrazil has experienced unprecedented wildfires recently. We aimed to investigate the association of wildfire-related fine particulate matter (PM2.5) with cause-specific cardiovascular mortality, and to estimate the attributable mortality burden. Exposure to wildfire-related PM2.5 was defined as exposure to annual mean wildfire-related PM2.5 concentrations in the 1-year prior to death. The variant difference-in-differences method was employed to explore the wildfire-related PM2.5-cardiovascular mortality association. We found that, in Brazil, compared with the population in the first quartile (Q1: ≤1.82 μg/m3) of wildfire-related PM2.5 exposure, those in the fourth quartile (Q4: 4.22–17.12 μg/m3) of wildfire-related PM2.5 exposure had a 2.2% (RR: 1.022, 95% CI: 1.013–1.032) higher risk for total cardiovascular mortality, 3.1% (RR: 1.031, 95% CI: 1.014–1.048) for ischaemic heart disease mortality, and 2.0% (RR: 1.020, 95% CI: 1.002–1.038) for stroke mortality. From 2010 to 2018, an estimation of 35,847 (95% CI: 22,424–49,177) cardiovascular deaths, representing 17.77 (95% CI: 11.12–24.38) per 100,000 population, were attributable to wildfire-related PM2.5 exposure. Targeted health promotion strategies should be developed for local governments to protect the public from the risk of wildfire-related cardiovascular premature deaths.Artigo Científico When One Health Meets the United Nations Ocean Decade: Global Agendas as a Pathway to Promote Collaborative Interdisciplinary Research on Human-Nature Relationships(2022) Masterson-Algar, Patricia; Jenkins, Stuart R.; Windle, Gill; Morris-Webb, Elisabeth; Takahashi, Camila K.; Burke, Trys; Rosa, Isabel; Martinez, Aline S.; Torres-Mattos, Emanuela B.; Taddei, Renzo; Morrison, Val; Kasten, Paula; Bryning, Lucy; Oliveira, Nara R. Cruz de; Gonçalves, Leandra R.; Skov, Martin W.; Beynon-Davies, Ceri; Bumbeer, Janaina; Saldiva, Paulo Hilario Nascimento; Leão, Eliseth; Christofoletti, Ronaldo A.Strong evidence shows that exposure and engagement with the natural world not only improve human wellbeing but can also help promote environmentally friendly behaviors. Human-nature relationships are at the heart of global agendas promoted by international organizations including the World Health Organization’s (WHO) “One Health” and the United Nations (UN) “Ocean Decade.” These agendas demand collaborative multisector interdisciplinary efforts at local, national, and global levels. However, while global agendas highlight global goals for a sustainable world, developing science that directly addresses these agendas from design through to delivery and outputs does not come without its challenges. In this article, we present the outcomes of international meetings between researchers, stakeholders, and policymakers from the United Kingdom and Brazil. We propose a model for interdisciplinary work under such global agendas, particularly the interface between One Health and the UN Ocean Decade and identify three priority research areas closely linked to each other: human-nature connection, conservation-human behavior, and implementation strategies (bringing stakeholders together). We also discuss a number of recommendations for moving forward
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