Do industries lead stock markets in Brazil?

dc.contributor.advisorBrito, Ricardo Dias De Oliveira
dc.contributor.authorCitron, Raphael Beno
dc.coverage.spatialSão Paulo, SPpt_BR
dc.creatorCitron, Raphael Beno
dc.date.accessioned2021-09-13T03:19:31Z
dc.date.accessioned2019-07-12T00:40:36Z
dc.date.available2021-09-13T03:19:31Z
dc.date.available2017
dc.date.available2019-07-12T00:40:36Z
dc.date.issued2017
dc.date.submitted2017
dc.description.otherHong et al. (2007) claim that a number of industry returns in U.S. and in eight largest non-U.S. stock markets can forecast market returns using monthly data. Tse (2015) reexamines their results in U.S. with updated data and extended period. He finds evidence that the market can predict industries more significantly than can the reverse. I investigate these relationships for the Brazilian market, adding a study to check if the causality from industries to the market is independent of the chosen model. Data are from August of 1994 to September of 2016. I found that is not possible to conclude that industry returns cause stock market returns for Brazil. I also show that the forecasting power that some models may present is not robust to a sub-sample analysis. The results are compatible with the efficient market hypothesis.pt_BR
dc.format.extent26 p.pt_BR
dc.identifier.urihttps://repositorio.insper.edu.br/handle/11224/2256
dc.language.isoInglêspt_BR
dc.rights.uriTODOS OS DOCUMENTOS DESSA COLEÇÃO PODEM SER ACESSADOS, MANTENDO-SE OS DIREITOS DOS AUTORES PELA CITAÇÃO DA ORIGEM.pt_BR
dc.subjectPreço de ativo; Mercado financeiro internacional; Macroeconomiapt_BR
dc.titleDo industries lead stock markets in Brazil?pt_BR
dc.typemaster thesis
dspace.entity.typePublication
local.contributor.boardmemberBoons, Martijn
local.typeDissertaçãopt_BR
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