Coleção Insper Business and Economics Working Papers

URI permanente para esta coleçãohttps://repositorio.insper.edu.br/handle/11224/5740

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    Inflation targeting did make a difference in industrial countries’ inflation and output growth
    (2012) Brito, Ricardo D.
    I reevaluate the treatment effect of inflation targeting (IT) in industrial economies that adopted this regime in the early 1990s through dynamic panel regressions to show that IT had significant enhancing effects on realized inflation and GDP growth. I also refine the propensity score matching of Lin and Ye [2007. Does inflation targeting really make a difference? Evaluating the treatment effect of inflation targeting in seven industrial countries. Journal of Monetary Economics 54(8), 2521-2533] and Ball and Sheridan’s [2005. Does inflation targeting matter? In: Bernanke B, Woodford M (Eds), The inflation targeting debate, 249-276] cross-section regressions to show that their conclusion of IT irrelevance can be overturned. By analyzing other samples that extend theirs, I provide further evidence of the pioneering IT systems good performance among developed countries.
  • Imagem de Miniatura
    Inflation targeting did make a difference in industrial countries’ inflation and output growth
    (2011) Brito, Ricardo D.
    I reevaluate the treatment effect of inflation targeting (IT) in industrial economies that adopted this regime in the early 1990s through dynamic panel regressions to show that IT had significant enhancing effects on realized inflation and GDP growth. I also refine the propensity score matching of Lin and Ye [2007. Does inflation targeting really make a difference? Evaluating the treatment effect of inflation targeting in seven industrial countries. Journal of Monetary Economics 54(8), 2521-2533] and Ball and Sheridan’s [2005. Does inflation targeting matter? In: Bernanke B, Woodford M (Eds), The inflation targeting debate, 249-276] cross-section regressions to show that their conclusion of IT irrelevance can be overturned. By analyzing other samples that extend theirs, I provide further evidence of the pioneering IT systems good performance among developed countries.
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    Permanent Excess Demand as Business Strategy: An analysis of the Brazilian higher-education market
    (2013) Andrade, Eduardo; Moita, Rodrigo; CARLOS EDUARDO LINS DA SILVA
    Many Higher Education Institutions (HEIs) establish tuition below the equilibrium price to generate permanent excess demand. This paper first builds on Becker’s (1991) theory to understand why the HEIs price in this way. The fact that students are both consumers and inputs on the education production function gives rise to an equilibrium where some firms have permanent excess demand. Second, the paper analyzes this equilibrium empirically. The results show that the HEIs give up 7.6% of the revenue coming from a freshman class in order to have better students and to differentiate themselves as high quality in the market.
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    Working Paper
    Analyzing determinants of foreign credit demand for sovereign bonds*
    (2021) Silva, Victor Hugo C. Alexandrino da; Drzeviechi, Maria Clara; Garcia, Gabriella; Netto, Augusto A. S.
    This paper aims to investigate the economic determinants of foreign credit demand for sovereign bonds in selected emerging and advanced countries. Furthermore, it is an objective to understand what causes a greater impact on this demand: the country’s domestic macroeconomic fundamentals or the external global environment. To this end, using data on share of foreign demand for sovereign bonds, an econometric analysis will be conducted with panel data from 2004 to 2019 for 45 emerging and advanced markets. The main findings show that both domestic fundamentals and the external environment affect the foreign participation in sovereign debt, but results vary depending on the degree of development and the channel through each variable affect our dependent variable. We find that domestic fundamentals seem to be related with the increase in foreign participation for both group of economies, but with different magnitudes and interpretation. For some variables, it is more related to the foreign demand of sovereign bonds and, for others, associated with the bond supply. The degree of development also seems to be important to the external environment. For some variables (US nominal interest rate), the ’search for yield’ plays a major role for the bond demand. But, for others (as the FX volatility and the VIX Index), the global demand is related with foreign investors’ risk aversion. Finally, we found that, in times of global turmoil, domestic fundamentals matter less for foreign attractiveness than in times when the global volatility is low.
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    Working Paper
    Rational Sunspots
    (2016) Ascari, Guido; Banomolo, Paolo; HEDIBERT FREITAS LOPES
    The instability of macroeconomic variables is usually ruled out by rational expectations. We propose a generalization of the rational expectations framework to estimate possible temporary unstable paths. Our approach yields drifting parameters and stochastic volatility. The methodology allows the data to choose between diferent possible alternatives: determinacy, indeterminacy and instability. We apply our methodology to US inflation dynamics in the '70s through the lens of a simple New Keynesian model. When unstable RE paths are allowed, the data unambiguously select them to explain the stagflation period in the '70s. Thus, our methodology suggests that US inflation dynamics in the '70s is better described by unstable rational equilibrium paths.
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    Working Paper
    The Usefulness of Financial Variables in Predicting Exchange Rate Movements
    (2013) Rossi Junior, Jose Luiz
    This paper studies the predictive power of several financial variables usually used as proxies for global liquidity, volatility, and risk aversion in forecasting exchange rates for a set of countries from January 2001 to April 2013. The results indicate that changes in the long-term interest rate, in the VIX, in the high yield spread, and in the market liquidity indicators have strong in-sample and out-of-sample predictive power with respect to exchange rates. The results indicate that the relationship between the financial variables and the exchange rate is relatively stable. The paper shows that the predictability of the models is persistent over time and does not depend on the choice of the window size adopted in the forecasting exercises.
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    Working Paper
    Replacement Cycles, Income Distribution, and Dynamic Price Discrimination
    (2013) EDUARDO CORREIA DE SOUZA; Batista, Jorge Chami
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    Working Paper
    Management of Intellectual Property in Brazilian Universities: a Multiple Case Study
    (2013) Pojo, Sabrina Da Rosa; Vidal, Valéria Schneider; Zen, Aurora Carneiro; Barros, Henrique Machado
    Originally established to incentivize individual inventors the patent system became broadly used by corporations, and has been increasingly used by universities worldwide. In Brazil, this is not different; especially in recent years when public policy has attempted to more directly foster innovation in the country. However, little is known as to the extent that universities in Brazil are able to coordinate patent-related activities and to facilitate knowledge transfer. On the basis of multiple case studies this paper explores how publicly-funded universities in Brazil are equipping themselves to deal with intellectual property rights (IPR) as well as technology licensing. The studied cases suggest that despite significant amount of patents applications, Brazilian universities present many differences in the management of their intellectual property. In particular, universities’ TTOs seem to play a central role in university productivity when it comes to patenting and knowledge transfer.
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    Working Paper
    Trade, structural transformation and growth in China
    (2013) Ferreira, Pedro Cavalcanti; MARCELO RODRIGUES DOS SANTOS; Silva, Leonardo Fonseca da
    China's recent performance in economic growth was characterized by high investment rate, increase in international trade, strong productivity growth in agriculture and nonfarm sectors and the reallocation of labor across sectors. We present a standard dynamic general equilibrium model of structural transformation for the Chinese economy to assess the contributions of the main drivers for the Chinese economic development. Our paper di§ers from other contributions to the literature by adding an external sector to the general equilibrium model of structural transformation. By doing that, we are able to estimate the contribution of trade to the economic development of China. We estimate that the contribution of trade to Chinaís economic growth was 26% of total economic growth during the period from 1980-2005. Moreover, the agricultural sector explained 27% of Chinese economic performance from 1980 to 2005.