Artigos em Andamento [Working Paper]
URI permanente desta comunidadehttps://repositorio.insper.edu.br/handle/11224/3232
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Resultados da Pesquisa
- Salience-Biased Nested Logit(2025) Caluz, Antonio Daniel; JOSÉ HELENO FARO; Sanches, Fabio MiessiThis paper introduces a two-level nested stochastic choice model in which nest probabilities are driven by salience. A category comprises alternatives that might be costly to gather information about, and we implicitly assume that market leaders are easier to familiarize oneself with. By learning about those alternatives more affordably, the items with the highest probability within each category become their respective saliences when selecting the category. Formally, a partition of the available options defines the collection of nests (categories), while a Luce function assigns weights to all alternatives. These two components represent the salience-biased nested logit (SBNL) model, which differs from the standard nested logit (NL) model primarily because the nest probabilities are determined solely by the highest probability within each category, which defines the corresponding salient alternative in our approach. Like the NL model, the Luce model is applicable within categories. While SBNL usually violates regularity, which leads to a form of market leader effect, we can develop a specific case of our model within the conventional random utility framework and demonstrate its broad applicability in practice under a standard parametric specification for utility. This results in a well-specified method for estimating the model’s parameters using individual or aggregate market data. It serves as an additional tool for analyzing market shares and clarifying how price elasticities may display different patterns according to marginal effects on demand stemming from variations in the prices of market share leaders (the salient ones) compared to price changes in non-leader alternatives.
- Permanent Excess Demand as Business Strategy: An analysis of the Brazilian higher-education market(2013) Andrade, Eduardo; Moita, Rodrigo; CARLOS EDUARDO LINS DA SILVAMany Higher Education Institutions (HEIs) establish tuition below the equilibrium price to generate permanent excess demand. This paper first builds on Becker’s (1991) theory to understand why the HEIs price in this way. The fact that students are both consumers and inputs on the education production function gives rise to an equilibrium where some firms have permanent excess demand. Second, the paper analyzes this equilibrium empirically. The results show that the HEIs give up 7.6% of the revenue coming from a freshman class in order to have better students and to differentiate themselves as high quality in the market.
- Índice de Equilíbrio Racial: Uma proposta de mensuração da desigualdade racial entre e dentro das categorias ocupacionais(2020) SERGIO PINHEIRO FIRPO; França, Michael; Rodrigues, Lucas C.O objetivo deste trabalho e apresentar uma proposta para monitorar a desigualdade racial no mercado de trabalho ao longo do tempo. Para isso, propõe-se o Índice de Equilíbrio Racial (IER). Esse índice representa uma forma de medir o quanto a distribuição ocupacional por raça de determinada unidade (firma, setor, região) diverge da distribuição ocupacional por raça em uma população de referência. Um exemplo é a comparação da distribuição ocupacional por raça numa firma com a mesma distribuição na população economicamente ativa. Com essa métrica, é possível visualizar a magnitude do desequilíbrio racial em empresas e regiões. Isso possibilita o monitoramento da situação racial no mercado formal de trabalho e, consequentemente, contribui para a avaliação e o desenvolvimento de políticas de promoção de equidade racial. Além disso, o trabalho fornece uma proposta metodológica para se estimar o volume de recursos que seriam destinados a população negra caso não houvesse discrepância entre as unidades estudadas e a população de referência.
- Social Inequality from the perspective of the Racial Balance Index(2021) SERGIO PINHEIRO FIRPO; França, Michael; Portella, AlyssonBrazil still has a long way to go in facing its deep social problems. In order to offer a new perspective on Brazilian inequality, this paper proposes to use the Racial Balance Index to reveal where the greatest and worst advances in the direction of racial equity lie. With this index it is possible to identify and monitor racial inequality in socioeconomic variables over time considering the local racial distribution. Thus, this work analyzes racial imbalances, by state and region, present in high schooling, in the elderly population and in groups with higher incomes. As a result, there has been a significant improvement in the educational situation in recent years. The racial imbalance in the population with higher education has decreased considerably. However, this has not yet been reflected in an improvement in racial inequality in earnings and longevity.
- Desigualdades raciais no mercado de trabalho brasileiro e o papel da educacão(2021) SERGIO PINHEIRO FIRPO; França, Michael; Portella, AlyssonDo differences in wages between white and black workers arise because of discrimination or because of differences in productivity? This report tries to answer this questions by analyzing recent patterns in racial inequality in the Brazilian labor market and education. In addition to that, we also discuss some of the most important works on racial inequality. We show that racial differences in earnings are large and persistent, even when we consider workers with higher education or in the same occupational group. Using data from Brazil, we show that a considerable part of racial gaps in wages are due to differences in education related to years of schooling, quality of education, and majors attended in college. We also present data on recent trends in educational inequality. Access to higher education has improved fast in Brazil in the last decades, especially among black youth. However, there are still large differences in access between black and white children. Black students in higher education attend less prestigious courses than their white counterparts. Moreover, the performance of black teens in exams by the end of high school is worse than that of white students, and recent trends suggest that these differences in performance are widening.
- Desigualdade Racial nas Eleições Brasileiras (Racial Inequality in Brazilian Elections)(2022) SERGIO PINHEIRO FIRPO; França, Michael; Portella, Alysson; Tavares, RafaelUsing data from Brazilian elections for federal and state legislative chambers from 2014 and 2018, we investigated the measure of racial balance in descriptive representation, that is, how much candidates and elected representatives reflect the racial composition of the population. We construct a Racial Balance Index (RBI) that aims to compare the percentage of black candidates and elected representatives with their percentage in the electorate. We analyze this index at the national and state levels, as well as within parties, also taking into account their ideological position. The results indicate some racial balance with respect to candidacies, but a high imbalance when we consider the elected representatives. To complement the analysis, we also investigated racial disparities in access to campaign resources. We found that not only do black candidates receive fewer resources on average, but these resources are more concentrated among them.
- Desigualdade Social sob a ótica do Índice de Equilíbrio Racial(2021) SERGIO PINHEIRO FIRPO; França, Michael; Portella, AlyssonO Brasil ainda tem um longo caminho no enfrentamento de seus profundos problemas sociais. Com o intuito de oferecer uma nova perspectiva em relação a desigualdade brasileira, o presente trabalho propõe usar o Índice de Equilíbrio Racial para revelar onde estão os maiores e piores avanços na direção da equidade racial. Com este índice e possível identificar e monitorar a iniquidade racial nas variáveis socioeconômicas ao longo do tempo considerando a distribuição racial local. Deste modo, neste trabalho analisam-se os desequilíbrios raciais, por estado e região, presentes na alta escolaridade, na população idosa e nos grupos com maiores rendimentos. Como resultado, encontrou-se uma expressiva melhora na situação educacional nos últimos anos. O desequilíbrio racial na população com ensino superior diminuiu consideravelmente. Entretanto, isto ainda não se refletiu em uma melhora na desigualdade racial nos rendimentos e longevidade.
- Índice Folha de Equilíbrio Racial Relatório Técnico 2022(2022) SERGIO PINHEIRO FIRPO; França, Michael; Portella, AlyssonEste relatório apresenta os principais resultados referentes ao Índice de Equilíbrio Racial (IER), desenvolvido pelo Núcleo de Estudos Raciais do Insper em parceria com a Folha de São Paulo. O Índice avalia o equilíbrio da representação racial no Brasil tem três componentes: Renda, Educação e Longevidade, agregando essas três dimensões em um índice composto, o IER. A análise inclui os anos de 2001 até 2021, incluindo os níveis nacional, regional e estadual. Os resultados mostram grandes avanços na dimensão da Educação, uma certa estagnação na dimensão da Renda, e aumento das desigualdades raciais na dimensão Longevidade. O IER como um todo mostra avanço lento, sendo necessário mais de 100 anos para atingirmos o equilíbrio racial. Além do IER, também apresentamos resultados mais detalhados para educação, incluindo desequilíbrios raciais no Ensino Fundamental (EF) completo e incompleto e Ensino Médio completo. Também avaliamos o equilíbrio em relação a matriculas totais e nas series adequadas ao longo da infância e juventude. O atraso escolar já surge nos primeiros anos do EF e cresce muito na passagem do EM para a fase universitária. Porém, houveram ganhos nas últimas duas décadas em todas essas dimensões.
- Descriptive Representation in Politics: A Measurement Proposal and Application for Brazil(2023) SERGIO PINHEIRO FIRPO; França, Michael; Pereira, Leila; Portella, Alysson; Tavares, RafaelThis paper introduces a new measure of descriptive representation in politics. It improves upon simple measures such as the share or the number of elected minorities by also taking into account the minority size among the represented. Moreover, contrary to disproportionality measures that are sometimes employed in the context of descriptive representation, our measure attains the upper bound in more usual situations. Based on the statistical properties of our index, we derive hypothesis tests that can be used to assess the likelihood of a representative body's observed composition being the result of an unbiased process.To illustrate its use, we apply the proposed index to evaluate the racial imbalances in the 2014 and 2018 Brazilian National and State legislative elections. This exercise shows that the inclusion of Non-whites in institutional politics has been partial and restricted only to candidacies. The imbalance among elected representatives is considerably larger than among candidates and we can reject the hypothesis that it was generated by chance in the majority of Brazilian states. We also investigate differences between left-wing and right-wing parties, observing lower imbalances among candidates in the left, but no difference when we restrict the analysis to elected representatives.
Working Paper Land, Property and Urban Planning(2024) Sala, Safira De La; Alterman, RachelleOne of the most pressing issues of present times is climate change. With over 55% of the world population living in cities, the question is particularly relevant for urban settlements, and how to consolidate environmental justice in such scenarios. How shall the rule of law approach the matter? It will depend on each place's specific environmental, social and cultural elements, keeping in mind the most needed safeguard of fundamental rights. One of those is property. How does property, underpinning land use and urban planning law, relate to such challenges? This chapter aims to provide an introductory theoretical overview of real (land-related) property and climate change. (Henceforth, by “property” we will be referring to real property). We argue that the impact of property rights on mitigation and adaptation to climate change can be both positive and negative. These will differ across different property rights and planning law regimes in contending with the challenges of climate change.