Do changes in terms of trade impact election outcomes?
dc.contributor.author | Freitas, Luis V.M. | |
dc.contributor.author | NAERCIO AQUINO MENEZES FILHO | |
dc.contributor.author | Komatsu, Bruno | |
dc.coverage.cidade | Não informado | pt_BR |
dc.coverage.pais | Não Informado | pt_BR |
dc.creator | Freitas, Luis V.M. | |
dc.creator | Komatsu, Bruno | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2022-10-31T22:42:44Z | |
dc.date.available | 2022-10-31T22:42:44Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2020 | |
dc.description.other | We investigate whether luck is a relevant factor in election outcomes by analyzing how a country’s change in terms of trade close to the election impacts the probability of reelection of the incumbent party. We draw from economic and political data on countries around the world and find that changes in the terms of trade one year before the election affect the reelection probability. Import prices are the main drivers of the result and elections in non-OECD countries are the most affected by terms of trade. | pt_BR |
dc.format.extent | 3 p. | pt_BR |
dc.format.medium | Digital | pt_BR |
dc.identifier.doi | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2020.109291 | pt_BR |
dc.identifier.issn | 0165-1765 | pt_BR |
dc.identifier.uri | https://repositorio.insper.edu.br/handle/11224/4588 | |
dc.identifier.volume | 193 | pt_BR |
dc.language.iso | Inglês | pt_BR |
dc.publisher | Elsevier | pt_BR |
dc.relation.ispartof | Economics Letters | pt_BR |
dc.rights.license | O INSPER E ESTE REPOSITÓRIO NÃO DETÊM OS DIREITOS DE USO E REPRODUÇÃO DOS CONTEÚDOS AQUI REGISTRADOS. É RESPONSABILIDADE DOS USUÁRIOS INDIVIDUAIS VERIFICAR OS USOS PERMITIDOS NA FONTE ORIGINAL, RESPEITANDO-SE OS DIREITOS DE AUTOR OU EDITOR. | pt_BR |
dc.subject.keywords | Terms of trade | pt_BR |
dc.subject.keywords | Reelection | pt_BR |
dc.subject.keywords | Voter rationality | pt_BR |
dc.title | Do changes in terms of trade impact election outcomes? | pt_BR |
dc.type | journal article | |
dspace.entity.type | Publication | |
local.subject.cnpq | Ciências Sociais Aplicadas | pt_BR |
local.type | Artigo Científico | pt_BR |
relation.isAuthorOfPublication | f6aa41b4-c778-4302-9674-af120c85cc97 | |
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery | f6aa41b4-c778-4302-9674-af120c85cc97 |
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