Do changes in terms of trade impact election outcomes?

dc.contributor.authorFreitas, Luis V.M.
dc.contributor.authorNAERCIO AQUINO MENEZES FILHO
dc.contributor.authorKomatsu, Bruno
dc.coverage.cidadeNão informadopt_BR
dc.coverage.paisNão Informadopt_BR
dc.creatorFreitas, Luis V.M.
dc.creatorKomatsu, Bruno
dc.date.accessioned2022-10-31T22:42:44Z
dc.date.available2022-10-31T22:42:44Z
dc.date.issued2020
dc.description.otherWe investigate whether luck is a relevant factor in election outcomes by analyzing how a country’s change in terms of trade close to the election impacts the probability of reelection of the incumbent party. We draw from economic and political data on countries around the world and find that changes in the terms of trade one year before the election affect the reelection probability. Import prices are the main drivers of the result and elections in non-OECD countries are the most affected by terms of trade.pt_BR
dc.format.extent3 p.pt_BR
dc.format.mediumDigitalpt_BR
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2020.109291pt_BR
dc.identifier.issn0165-1765pt_BR
dc.identifier.urihttps://repositorio.insper.edu.br/handle/11224/4588
dc.identifier.volume193pt_BR
dc.language.isoInglêspt_BR
dc.publisherElsevierpt_BR
dc.relation.ispartofEconomics Letterspt_BR
dc.rights.licenseO INSPER E ESTE REPOSITÓRIO NÃO DETÊM OS DIREITOS DE USO E REPRODUÇÃO DOS CONTEÚDOS AQUI REGISTRADOS. É RESPONSABILIDADE DOS USUÁRIOS INDIVIDUAIS VERIFICAR OS USOS PERMITIDOS NA FONTE ORIGINAL, RESPEITANDO-SE OS DIREITOS DE AUTOR OU EDITOR.pt_BR
dc.subject.keywordsTerms of tradept_BR
dc.subject.keywordsReelectionpt_BR
dc.subject.keywordsVoter rationalitypt_BR
dc.titleDo changes in terms of trade impact election outcomes?pt_BR
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
local.subject.cnpqCiências Sociais Aplicadaspt_BR
local.typeArtigo Científicopt_BR
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationf6aa41b4-c778-4302-9674-af120c85cc97
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscoveryf6aa41b4-c778-4302-9674-af120c85cc97

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