Working Papers
URI permanente desta comunidadehttps://repositorio.insper.edu.br/handle/11224/3232
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Resultados da Pesquisa
- Inflation targeting did make a difference in industrial countries’ inflation and output growth(2012) Brito, Ricardo D.I reevaluate the treatment effect of inflation targeting (IT) in industrial economies that adopted this regime in the early 1990s through dynamic panel regressions to show that IT had significant enhancing effects on realized inflation and GDP growth. I also refine the propensity score matching of Lin and Ye [2007. Does inflation targeting really make a difference? Evaluating the treatment effect of inflation targeting in seven industrial countries. Journal of Monetary Economics 54(8), 2521-2533] and Ball and Sheridan’s [2005. Does inflation targeting matter? In: Bernanke B, Woodford M (Eds), The inflation targeting debate, 249-276] cross-section regressions to show that their conclusion of IT irrelevance can be overturned. By analyzing other samples that extend theirs, I provide further evidence of the pioneering IT systems good performance among developed countries.
- Inflation targeting did make a difference in industrial countries’ inflation and output growth(2011) Brito, Ricardo D.I reevaluate the treatment effect of inflation targeting (IT) in industrial economies that adopted this regime in the early 1990s through dynamic panel regressions to show that IT had significant enhancing effects on realized inflation and GDP growth. I also refine the propensity score matching of Lin and Ye [2007. Does inflation targeting really make a difference? Evaluating the treatment effect of inflation targeting in seven industrial countries. Journal of Monetary Economics 54(8), 2521-2533] and Ball and Sheridan’s [2005. Does inflation targeting matter? In: Bernanke B, Woodford M (Eds), The inflation targeting debate, 249-276] cross-section regressions to show that their conclusion of IT irrelevance can be overturned. By analyzing other samples that extend theirs, I provide further evidence of the pioneering IT systems good performance among developed countries.
Working Paper Bank debit taxes: yield vs. disintermediation(2003) Kirilenko, Andrei; Summers, Victoria P.Working Paper Education and health: evaluating theories and evidence(2006) Cutler, David M.; Lleras-Muney, AdrianaThere is a large and persistent association between education and health. In this paper, we review what is known about this link. We first document the facts about the relationship between education and health. The education 'gradient' is found for both health behaviors and health status, though the former does not fully explain the latter. The effect of education increases with increasing years of education, with no evidence of a sheepskin effect. Nor are there differences between blacks and whites, or men and women. Gradients in behavior are biggest at young ages, and decline after age 50 or 60. We then consider differing reasons why education might be related to health. The obvious economic explanations - education is related to income or occupational choice - explain only a part of the education effect. We suggest that increasing levels of education lead to different thinking and decision-making patterns. The monetary value of the return to education in terms of health is perhaps half of the return to education on earnings, so policies that impact educational attainment could have a large effect on population health.Working Paper Bad taxation: disintermediation and illiquidity in a bank account debits tax model(2006) Albuquerque, Pedro H.This paper uses a dynamic general equilibrium model to study the economic effects of bank account debits (BAD) taxation. Australia and various Latin American countries have levied or levy BAD taxes. Aspects such as financial disintermediation, market illiquidity, and impacts on dividend and interest rates are considered. Part of the BAD tax revenue may be fictitious, due to increased interest payments on government debt. The Brazilian BAD tax (CPMF) experience is evaluated. The empirical analysis confirms some theoretical predictions. Incidence base over GDP appears to be sensitive to the tax rate, possibly engendering a Laffer curve. The tax may also cause real interest rates to increase. Furthermore, the deadweight losses are relatively large, even if revenues are small. The theoretical and empirical results suggest that the BAD tax is not adequate for revenue collection.Working Paper Estimando os gastos privados com educação no brasil(2011) NAERCIO AQUINO MENEZES FILHO; Nuñez, Diana FeketeEste artigo estima, pela primeira vez na literatura, os gastos totais privados com educação no Brasil, utilizando os micro-dados de gastos das famílias brasileiras da Pesquisa de Orçamentos Familiares para os anos de 2002/2003 e 2008/2009. Verificamos que as famílias brasileiras gastaram 1,9% do PIB com educação em 2002/03 e 1,3% em 2008/09. Uma comparação com outros países mostra que os gastos privados e públicos são maiores que a média dos países da OCDE. Os gastos com educação não estão relacionados com o desempenho escolar médio dos países, medido pelos últimos resultados do exame internacional PISAWorking Paper Modelo Multi-Estado de Markov em Cartões de Crédito(2008) RINALDO ARTES; Régis, Daniel EvangelistaModelos multi-estado de Markov são utilizados na área médica para estimar as probabilidades de transição entre, por exemplo, vários estágios de uma doença, podendo o paciente recuperar-se ou morrer. O principal interesse deste trabalho é analisar a aplicação do modelo multiestado de Markov na área de risco associado ao uso de cartões de crédito, aproveitando as características de transições entre diversos estados de relacionamento entre os clientes e as instituições ao longo do tempo e, com isso, gerar modelos de escore para diversos fins. Modelos de regressão logística também são estimados a fim de comparar os resultados com os obtidos pelo modelo multi-estado de Markov.Working Paper A crise política de 2005: Causas estruturais e conjunturais que a explicam(2008) CARLOS ALBERTO FURTADO DE MELOWorking Paper Currency Wars in Action: How Foreign Exchange Interventions Work in an Emerging Economy(2012) Moura, Marcelo L.; Pereira, Fátima R.; Attuy, Guilherme de MoraesThis paper investigates the impact of central bank interventions on the level and volatility of exchange rates. We explore the case of Brazil, the 7th largest economy in the world in 2012, which since 1999 has adopted a floating exchange rate. As Central Bank decisions to intervene in the exchange market are not independent of market conditions, we estimated a Central Bank reaction function using a logit model including market fundamentals and macroeconomic surprises as explanatory variables. We employed the nonparametric Propensity Score Matching (PSM) method to find counterfactual pairs of intervention and non-intervention days. This indicated that the effectiveness of foreign exchange interven tions depends on the period analyzed. For instance, from 1999 to 2003, with scarce and smaller interventions, the buying operations of U.S. Dollars depreciated the Brazilian Real whereas from 2004 to 2012, a period with larger and frequent interventions, only selling interventions were significant, and tended to increase the currency’s volatility.Working Paper Bourdieu e Institucionalistas: jogo de luzes e sombras(2012) CHARLES KIRSCHBAUMO Neo-Institucionalismo Sociológico e a teoria de Bourdieu vêm sendo colocadas como antípodas nas análises de vários pesquisadores em Estudos Organizacionais no Brasil. Embora esses estudos vêm iluminando aspectos importantes de diálogo e dissociação entre esses corpos teóricos, algumas posições em processo de consagração merecem revisão. Esse artigo reabre essa discussão em diálogo direto com Misoczky (2003). A análise salienta conceitos que são importantes tanto para Bourdieu quanto para neo-institucionalistas: por exemplo, a dimensão simbólico-cognitiva e o conceito de legitimidade (ainda que tratadas de formas diversas). Aspectos como reprodução social e homogeneidade são revisitados em ambas as teorias: em Bourdieu há um grau de reprodução social maior do que admitido por Misoczky, enquanto a dimensão de mudança nos institucionalistas não ganha a devida atenção. O artigo segue com diversas sugestões de contribuições cruzadas: a noção de poder e interesse de Bourdieu vem sendo articulada por neo-institucionalistas, enquanto as noções de tradução, analogia e multi-vocalidade, operacionalizadas pelos neo-institucionalistas, podem contribuir com o projeto de Bourdieu. Em conclusão, evoca-se as vantagens de resistir ao paroquialismo teórico.