Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://repositorio.insper.edu.br/handle/11224/4234
Type: Artigo Científico
Title: Financing needs, spending projection, and the future of health in Brazil
Author: Rocha, Rudi
Furtado, Isabela Brandão
Spinola, Paula
Publication Date: 2021
Abstract: In this paper we adopt a growth accounting projection model to estimate and characterize health‐financing needs in Brazil as well as to assess the extent to which financing needs may diverge from spending capacity in the future. We estimate an annual increase of 0.71% in the share of projected financing needs relative to GDP, with excess growth rates being 0.74% and 0.69% for the public and private health sectors, respectively. Institutional reforms and public spending restrictions may leverage public–private segmentation in health financing throughout the next decades, thus potentially leading to losses of equity in the system. Our projections contribute to a scant empirical literature on health financing sustainability in low‐ and middle‐income countries and shed light on the role of spending capacity and institutional constraints over the path towards universal health coverage.
Keywords (english terms): fiscal constraints
health expenditures
health system sustainability
projection models
Language: Inglês
CNPq Area: Ciências da Saúde
URI: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/hec.4241
Copyright: O INSPER E ESTE REPOSITÓRIO NÃO DETÊM OS DIREITOS DE USO E REPRODUÇÃO DOS CONTEÚDOS AQUI REGISTRADOS. É RESPONSABILIDADE DOS USUÁRIOS INDIVIDUAIS VERIFICAR OS USOS PERMITIDOS NA FONTE ORIGINAL, RESPEITANDO-SE OS DIREITOS DE AUTOR OU EDITOR.
Appears in Collections:Coleção de Artigos Científicos

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